5/10 live at MGM against self-proclaimed great live pro

[snowbank]

7 or 8 handed. utg straddles, so I'm first to act. I make it $65 with KdJd. middle position calls. sb calls.

Flop: Q83 rainbow.

sb checks. I decide to check since I've shown down a couple big bluffs in the last couple orbits. middle position checks

Turn 7d 2 diamonds on board.

I bet like $100, a little less than half pot.(bet sizing didn't seem to matter much to these 2) mp folds, and sb calls.

river: Q

He bets out $325.

The bet didn't make any sense. A couple hours ago on a similar hand where the board paired(I wasn't in the hand), he fired a bet like this on the river out of no where when the board paired and was called and he instamucked. Also a couple hours ago, I raised a flop bet by him kind of small, and he said something to no one in particular about how if I raised big he calls quick and knows I obviously have it since I raised so small.(i had a draw, he's a silly lil feller) He's also make sure to tell everyone at the table that he hasn't had a losing session since he started playing at MGM last month. He's a relatively tight player for the most part, but has fired a couple bluffs before.

I think about calling here, but I worry that he could potentially be bluffing with something like the A high missed flush draw, or even a small pair that he doesn't think is good.

He has about $1400 behind. I decide to min-raise to $650.

Thoughts?

[pnazari]

if you are ognna be using the post-oak bluff i think $850-$950 would be better because live players tend to think in absolute numbers..."zomg he raised $500 more, he can't be bluffing"...as opposed to thinking about pot odds and the like. that said, i would just muck and move on to the next hand.

[selurah]

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i would just muck and move on to the next hand.

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[TxRedMan]

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i would just muck and move on to the next hand.

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[DJ Sensei]

ehhh seems a bit stupid/fancy to me. if you're gonna bluff make it like 825 or 925.

[True]

is 5/10 high stakes now [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]. I was thinking while reading min raise prob makes this guy feel sad and fold.

bluffing recently may take the legitimacy from this bluff

[True]

you are risking 650 (compared to folding) to win about the same. If he folds 50% or more then it's good which I agree with.