A7s vs limper tripple barrel against medium pp? NL200

[ArgusSpets]

Villain is quite crappy, like 35,12,1 WTS 45! (important)

Does anybody like threebarreling against this villain here on the scary river K or is he likely to call with 66+ (if he actually has it, but im pretty sure of that, he took some time before calling turn):

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) by Hand Converter CG

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

MP ($191)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($193.15)</font>
Button ($102)
<font color="#C00000">SB ($199)</font>
BB ($211.25)
UTG ($74.85)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG folds, MP folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, Button folds, SB calls $6, BB folds.

Flop: ($16) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $12</font>, SB calls $12.

Turn: ($40) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $30</font>, SB calls $30.

River: ($100) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks,

Hero gives up, or fires 3rd barrel?

Comments on all streets please!

Thanks

[AaronOC]

hero bets $75

[rberg]

i dont think "crappy villian" with those stats will lay down any boat
Edit: but, well, you're the one who played with him, so you should be able to make a better guess than anyone here

[ArgusSpets]

Yea I was afraid hed call like 75 or something with 66+... I checked he showed 66... But after all I think thats too passiv, even vs villains whore more likely to call with that range...

Other opinions?

[OMGTILTING]

I think you should check turn.
And defenetly dont fire the 3rd barrel here, he will call you with any full house

[Jamougha]

Turn bet is reaaaly bad because he's never folding a pair.

[ArgusSpets]

[ QUOTE ]
Turn bet is reaaaly bad because he's never folding a pair.

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If he has at least a LITTLE brain, he should at least consider folding because Im like representing a higher pp and he have to call off maybe a 3rd big bet on the river but I guess he doesnt think about what could come in the future [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[Nielsio]

There is no 30+ vpip villain who will ever fold the turn with 66+.

[Georgia Avenue]

Niels, all, this is why I like the turn bet. He never folds a pair sure, but he always folds, say Ax, 46, 67, some other thing that might bluff the river if we check. Good line for metagame too.

NH OP sez I.

[qetou]

[ QUOTE ]
Turn bet is reaaaly bad

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