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  #1  
Old 05-25-2007, 01:42 AM
THAY3R THAY3R is offline
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Default Is this close?

3 handed in Live MTT. 1st is 72k, 2nd 41k, 3rd 20k.

D - 220k chips
SB - 110k chips
BB(Hero) 100k chips


Blinds 4000/8000(1000 ante)

Button raises to 30k
SB Raises all in
Hero dealt AK
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  #2  
Old 05-25-2007, 01:51 AM
ianisakson ianisakson is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

i'd think you're pretty far ahead of both of their ranges still. If you can't see SB doing this with AT-AQ then fold, but this will never be true, so call and see how good you run.
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  #3  
Old 05-25-2007, 02:22 AM
nath nath is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

I don't think it is
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  #4  
Old 05-25-2007, 02:30 AM
Cornell Fiji Cornell Fiji is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

ICM calculator FTW?

I don't naturally have as good of a grasp of ICM forcasting as I do other aspects of tournament play. This seems like a shove to me but if someone crunched the numbers and said otherwise I would not be surprised.
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  #5  
Old 05-25-2007, 02:39 AM
adanthar adanthar is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

ignore what you saw here earlier, I thought it went push/call

essentially HU vs. button almost always folding, no, not close
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  #6  
Old 05-25-2007, 03:22 AM
THAY3R THAY3R is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

Why/how is button almost always folding? Needs like a 23% chance of winning to be +EV
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  #7  
Old 05-25-2007, 03:23 AM
timex timex is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

[ QUOTE ]
Why/how is button almost always folding? Needs like a 23% chance of winning to be +EV

[/ QUOTE ]

If you consider folding AK, I'm pretty sure he doesn't win 23% against QQ+? and another hand.
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  #8  
Old 05-25-2007, 03:37 AM
gobboboy gobboboy is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

NEVER EVER EVER folding here.
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  #9  
Old 05-25-2007, 04:14 AM
Crispy Crispy is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

Pretty easy Push. I also see button folds here more often than you think even though he gets decent odds.
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  #10  
Old 05-25-2007, 10:50 AM
homanga homanga is offline
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Default Re: Is this close?

Push, and button will likely fold this just to ensure getting 2nd unless he's got a monster which in that case he wins.
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