2 overs + flush draw in giant 3 way pot

[schwza]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($1094.50)
UTG ($65)
Button ($976.70)
SB ($859.55)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls $6, Button calls $6, SB completes, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $36</font>, UTG folds, Button calls $30, SB calls $30.

Flop: ($114) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $90</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $220</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $500</font>, hero?

sb has 323 left and button has 721 left.

a little math to make everything easier: if we all get ai, i have to have 30.2% equity to make a call 0EV. (actually a bit less because i'm assuming that i never win the $234 side pot without winning the main pot). if i get ai with SB and button folds, then i need 37.7% equity.

we've all be playing pretty aggressively preflop and postflop. all 3 of us have been splashing around a good bit. the game really wasn't great and i definitely wouldn't be in it if i didn't have the short stack on my left. the original raise of my cbet doesn't neccessarily mean too much but the next raise obviously does.

[CSKJ]

I do not think that you should count aces and kings as outs in this spot.

[Paul B.]

AdKd has 30.3% equity against TT,33,22,5d4d. Take out 5d4d and it's 25.5%. Best case scenario: button calls but has a set, then AdKd has 29% equity. I don't think their ranges are much wider than that.

It looks like a fold is in order.

[snakekilla88]

yeah a fold here has to be correct, I sometimes would get it in when im tilty and want to gambool [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img].

[DJ Sensei]

i think i'd get it in here, considering the tilt equity of winning a huge pot with a "suckout", and the future equity of people thinking you'll take a flush draw all the way (with proper adjustment, of course). and we're probably close in real equity too. and hey, backdoor draws!

[Eagles]

I just gamble and get it in. It can't be that big a mistake.

[smartalecc5]

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yeah a fold here has to be correct, I sometimes would get it in when im tilty and want to gambool [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img].

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