$100nl, KK overpair, check behind river or valuebet?

netstorm · #1 05-14-2007, 05:08 PM

Villain is 24/17/4.4 over ~240 hands, and seems solid. I havent seem him do this PF from the SB. He calls a PSB on the flop. If he checking twice to induce a bluff, or can I just valuebet this?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($150.95)
Button ($189.95)
SB ($100)
Hero ($99.05)
UTG ($98.15)
MP ($56.45)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP calls $1, 1 fold, Button calls $1, SB completes, Hero raises to $5.5, MP calls $5, Button calls $5, SB calls $5.

Flop: ($24) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $20, MP folds, Button folds, SB calls $20.

Turn: ($64) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($64) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero ? ? ?

Final Pot: $64

luckybacon · #2 05-14-2007, 05:09 PM

hero bets 49

netstorm · #3 05-14-2007, 05:10 PM

what hands do we beat that called a flop and will call this river? Please explain your reasoning, as I am currently taking shots at $100nl.

Imrahil · #4 05-14-2007, 05:12 PM

Doesn't matter, just bet it. People call with anything.

luckybacon · #5 05-14-2007, 05:13 PM

AJ KJ QJ J10, QQ, 99, 1010, 88. I mean we checked the turn to get extra value on the river. He should look u up light thinking ur betting a whiffed flush or missed overs quite a bit.

recallme · #6 05-14-2007, 05:14 PM

I would have bet and called a push on the turn. You are behind set of 3/4 and nothinge lse.

Casper05 · #7 05-14-2007, 05:14 PM

even if he only calls 5% of the time, we are ahead 100% of the time so betting is +EV.

mrcoughman · #8 05-14-2007, 05:14 PM

I'd bet the turn here too,
But you have HAVE to bet this river like 50$

He'll prob call with any Jack

netstorm · #9 05-14-2007, 05:18 PM

Villain would probably bet 88+ and AJ PF, correct? I know the 4 didnt change a thing. Isnt 56s in his range tho?

King Car · #10 05-14-2007, 05:19 PM

[ QUOTE ]
what hands do we beat that called a flop and will call this river?

[/ QUOTE ]

Jx, or sometimes 99/TT thanks thinks your FOS.