Liddell vs Rampage Jackson, any thoughts?

[TheFaucet]

The money line on most sportsbooks are around -290 Liddell/+210 Rampage right now, this seems way off to me. Jackson is virtually unknown within the States but has a winning record fighting in Pride and beat Liddell by TKO the last time they met. Quinton is a better wrestler and is noticeably stronger than Liddell and has been fighting the cream of the crop of the 205lb weight-class like Wanderlei, the Ruas, Arona and Lindland since he beat Chuck. I'll probably be betting on Quinton and wanted to know if you think there's much value in my wager, and how you think the line will move when the 26th approaches. I don't bet on sports too often so I'm just looking for some confirmation.

[BDRaddest]

I like Liddell in this fight as I don't think Rampage is going to be prepared due to the ultimatum he received from Dana White. On the other hand I think there is extreme value getting Rampage as a 3:1 dog. If this fight were to take place 4 to 5 months down the road I think there would be a substantial difference in the line and perhaps the outcome. I think Liddell will win but I won't be laying 3:1 on him. Look what happened to Crocop at the last UFC.

[Performify]

There's already a UFC 71 thread:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...umber=10188461

Locking this one. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]