25/50 TT

[Dale Dough]

Eighthanded, eff. stacks ~5k. Villain seems to be a winning regular, who I haven't seen making any crazy plays.

Two limps, I make it 275 with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Both call.

Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Pot 900

Check, CO bets 700something, I call, EP folds

Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Pot ~2400

CO bets 2250, I shove for 1700 more.


Reasoning: The only realistic hands I that beat me are 44 and A4s. That's about it, and he might not even play the suited ace like that pre. That, and leading with sets seems to be out of fashion.

[king_of_drafts]

and combo draws arent far behind you

I'd just fold the turn

[Dale Dough]

I [censored] up. Turn was an 8. Even worse for me?

[cts]

wtf

[EC10]

w t f. fold the flop? and the turn?

[cts]

he hasn't made any plays, he is a winner, he has put 3/4 of his stack in, and you are trying to bluff him?

[Dale Dough]

Not bluffing him. I'm betting he's bluffing me.

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Board: Ac Qc 4d 8h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 31.313% 31.31% 00.00% 124 0.00 { ThTs }
Hand 1: 68.687% 68.69% 00.00% 272 0.00 { 44, A4s, KcJc, JcTc, 5c4c, 4c3c }</pre><hr />

No KJ has me at 27%, KT, 98 and 87 each add a few %. With all three of them I'm above 40%.

That means worst case scenario I'm betting 1300 that he's bluffing, and the best equity he can have besides the mentioned range is about 20%, so I win at least 4000 if I'm right.

Right?

[HIV]

no.

[Dale Dough]

Elaborate plz.

[kyleb]

what in the