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  #1  
Old 04-09-2007, 03:18 PM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

okay, this is going to seem belated, but yesterday's post was deleted.

anyway, for the sake of record-keeping and because some of these lines are still available, i took:

KC +187 (1)
Cle +127 (cancelled)
Ari -106 (1)
Phi +117 (1)
Min +120 (1)

also i'd like to add (again!) that my expectation for the year is +10.0 units, not +35.54. so don't hitch on to the wagon expecting any miracles.

and, does anyone have a good statistical resource for weather/umpire effects on totals? i looked through my copy of michael murray's betting baseball and it seems to have some decent info, though it will take me a little while to figure out how to integrate it.
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  #2  
Old 04-09-2007, 03:51 PM
mrbaseball mrbaseball is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

[ QUOTE ]
and, does anyone have a good statistical resource for weather/umpire effects on totals?

[/ QUOTE ]

Weather (click on home team for wind info)

weather

For umpires

umpires
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  #3  
Old 04-09-2007, 04:13 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

nice posts...many thanks to both of you
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  #4  
Old 04-09-2007, 04:15 PM
almostbusto almostbusto is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

this phillies game just turn into a complete train wreck. great pick imo, bad luck. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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  #5  
Old 04-09-2007, 04:20 PM
RStMartin RStMartin is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

I like KC versus AJ Burnett too
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  #6  
Old 04-09-2007, 06:48 PM
New001 New001 is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

KC up to +200. I think I'm going to pile on a couple more units here.
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  #7  
Old 04-09-2007, 06:58 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

Damn, I got them at +194 and now I'm finding +212.
Ridiculous.
Took another unit.

GO ROYALS!!
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  #8  
Old 04-10-2007, 12:41 AM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

[ QUOTE ]
Ari -106 (1)


[/ QUOTE ]

Terrible, terrible loss for Cincinnati. Arizona uses 4 pitchers, only one of whom could throw back-to-back strikes, and the Reds ground into like 28 double plays and manage 2 runs, while Arroyo more or less dominates. Standard.
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  #9  
Old 04-10-2007, 01:04 AM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

21-17, +33.54 on season

expected: +10.4

4/10:

Min +132 (4) - i guess joe public feels pettitte + NY = instant success, as this is the second straight line slanted way towards him
Oak +101 (2)
Hou +139 (1)
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  #10  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:19 AM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/9-4/15 (20-14, +35.54 u)

23-18, +34.95u

worst part of my trip to milwaukee (report in SE forum) was definitely the occasional glances at the out of town scoreboard. good to see the a's pull it out.

4/11:

Tam +152 (1)
Min +134 (1)
Bal +125 (1)
KC +159 (1)
Phi +135 (1)
Oak +100 (2)
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