fold to a totally unexpected river min check raise getting great odds.

[jj12]

Opponent is 22/5/1.2 and he hasn't been active at all. I don't have a good read on his postflop play.


Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$2/$4 Blinds
5 Players
Lego Poker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($6, 5 Players)
Hero raises to $14, Hulk76 folds, a warm place folds, urbandb888 folds, NIB333 calls $10

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($30, 2 Players)
NIB333 checks, Hero bets $21, NIB333 calls $21

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($72, 2 Players)
NIB333 checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($72, 2 Players)
NIB333 checks, Hero bets $50, NIB333 raises to $100, Hero folds
Uncalled bet of $50 returned to NIB333

Pot Size: $72 ($0 Rake)

I am getting amazing odds but his line doesn't make any sense and he shouldn't have air. The only thing I beat is a frustration bluff from ace high. Good fold? It looks like he wants a call.

[coxquinn]

yes but I'd bet turn

[jj12]

yeah I was considering betting turn but felt that this is the kind of opponent that would pay off river with a very marginal hand if I check.

[jordiepop]

i hate checking the turn.



but i dont see why hed go for a check raise on the river since he cant think your gonna bet out there. id bet for value, and be very confused by the check min raise.

[G_Dollaz]

he's got 56, I'd pay to see it though b/c I'm a station

[jj12]

[ QUOTE ]
i hate checking the turn.



but i dont see why hed go for a check raise on the river since he cant think your gonna bet out there. id bet for value, and be very confused by the check min raise.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah whenever I take this line of reasoning I always get owned by some donk who checks the nuts twice. However, here the odds are extremely attractive that calling might be profitable. I am totally unsure. It's such a bizzare situation.

[ArturiusX]

Good turn check if hes a loose peeler and a serial bluffer, otherwise just bet it.

[The Velour Fog]

[ QUOTE ]
he's got 56, I'd pay to see it though b/c I'm a station

[/ QUOTE ]

seconded

honestly, i would be too curious not to look him up here, also i hate folding to minraises

[jj12]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
he's got 56, I'd pay to see it though b/c I'm a station

[/ QUOTE ]

seconded

honestly, i would be too curious not to look him up here, also i hate folding to minraises

[/ QUOTE ]
lol so you guys think its -ev, but since it's only a minraise lets pay it off.

[stigmata]

Never ever fold TPGK in minbet hold them!