Top Two with nitty overcaller

[ajmargarine]

UTG has played nitty. Not many hands with him, but I note he does PFR premiums. I also noted he open limped 55 in MP. My impression based on his play is that he's not chasing with something like 78 on the flop. He might have JJ on the flop I suppose, but I *think* he raises that preflop. Thoughts on turn c/c? River?

Full Tilt Poker
$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
CO: $97
BTN: $74
SB: $67.2
Hero (BB): $184
UTG: $105.75

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($1.5, 5 players)
UTG calls $1, CO calls $1, BTN folds, SB calls $0.50, Hero checks

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($4, 4 players)
<font color="red">SB bets $4</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12</font>, UTG calls $12, CO folds, SB folds

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] ($32, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $15</font>, Hero calls $15

<font color="black">River:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] [J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] ($62, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $35</font>, Hero...

[runningirl07]

I would bet the turn here and probably fold to a raise. River...........i dunno but you could probably find a fold here. He has to at least have a better 2 pair here but most likely a set. Tough spot, but bet the turn next time I think.

[Al_Money]

B/f turn is good vs. this kind of opponent. He isn't raising w/o a better hand. If he just calls the turn, I'd probably c/c or c/f river depending on bet size. As played, river is close but I'd lean towards a fold.

[thedustbustr]

i think his turn range is 45, AT, sets

[ajmargarine]

[ QUOTE ]
i think his turn range is 45, AT, sets

[/ QUOTE ]

fwiw, i don't think he openlimps 45 or even 78 UTG. So, you'd c/f turn Dust? I seriously thought about it.

[Av9114]

Well I dont think you can really c/f the turn without a very strong read. So if you know you aren't going to fold to a 1/2-3/4 pot bet on the turn, bet the 1/2 pot yourself and fold if he raises, or strongly consider c/f the river if he calls.

[cheer]

bet the turn! way easier to play rest of hand if you bet the turn. as is fold river

[thedustbustr]

aj at first i'd say no, bet the turn. but i think the ace is a really bad card. if he has anything other than 45s, it beats you now, or is now folding (JTs or something). so check/folding is fine. hopefully he checks behind and you have some options for the river.

if the turn card was like a 5 or 8 or something random i'd definitely lead.

[Vehn]

I like a fold here I dont see how he could have anything other than a set or AT

[w33ktight]

prolly has AT or a set

i think you can fold