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  #1  
Old 03-19-2007, 05:02 AM
BT2 BT2 is offline
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Default 50 over pair faces c/r

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG+1 ($29.90)
MP1 ($12.55)
MP2 ($49.30)
MP3 ($50)
Hero ($49.25)
Button ($51.85)
SB ($54.10)
BB ($51.20)
UTG ($48.05)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $3</font>, Button calls $3, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 folds, MP2 calls $2.50.

Flop: ($10.25) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7</font>, Button folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to $19.5</font>, Hero calls $12.50.

Turn: ($49.25) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets $26.8 (All-In)</font>, Hero calls ?


villain is 10/4/1.6
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  #2  
Old 03-19-2007, 11:41 AM
CalledDownLight CalledDownLight is offline
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Default Re: 50 over pair faces c/r

He's basically repping only one hand, but it does look exactly like 22. I think you could maybe get away on the flop, but I think that you probably have to pay off the turn with the odds you are now getting and the turn making 66 unlikely.
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  #3  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:03 PM
fishfinder2000 fishfinder2000 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 14
Default Re: 50 over pair faces c/r

You're likely beat and given his stats I would have dumped it on the flop. With his push on the turn what are you hoping he has? AJ? That's the only likely hand you beat except a bluff. Just fold unless you have a read on the player.
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  #4  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:17 PM
DougieG DougieG is offline
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Default Re: 50 over pair faces c/r

I think in general I'm either 3 betting AI on this flop or folding to the raise right there, probly on about a 60/40 or so. 60% of the time I'm repushing, 40% folding. His hand does look exactly like 22 but it could be AJ I spose...it could also be something like JJ really. He's only raising 4%...I've reconsidered I'm folding on the flop. All we beat is AJ, although that could be a prety significant portion of his range...i dunno. Fold.
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  #5  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:22 PM
CaptainCAM CaptainCAM is offline
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Default Re: 50 over pair faces c/r

I would fold this on the flop as well. especially if those stats are over a lot of hands. sometimes those of us who use PAHUD or GT+ overvalue reads from stats though. if those stats are over a short period of time i 3bet AI on flop.
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