AA against a nit

[AsydRayne]

Villain's stats are 8 / 8 / 3 over 75 hands. After the turn action he has about $22 behind and I have him covered. Do I stack here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($101.30)
UTG ($29.45)
MP ($49.45)
Button ($49.25)
Hero ($52.15)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $6</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $4.

Flop: ($12.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $8</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $22</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ??</font>

[so sick bro]

easy push, if he's that much of a nit he probably doesnt have 22 or 44, obv JJ unlikely too. He sure doesn't have J2 or J4 you're just beating so much right now this is not a hard decision

[crushednuts]

Yes, he probably has KK or QQ, you can't read him for JJ here.. Also, it would be helpful if you had some flop reads on him like if he likes to slowplay or not but i guess when he only puts in money 8% of the time its hard to get a read other than uber nit

[creamfillin]

Not even sure 22/44 is in his opening range. That leaves only one hand you have to worry about. I go broke here everytime.

[thac]

Yeah, nits play KK/QQ this way as well, if he has JJ it's pretty nasty but you may also see AK[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] so shoving here is definitely +EV.

Btw - that reraise is too small and you should probably bump it to $7, you're giving them pretty good odds to call with a lot esp. since they have position.

[so sick bro]

[ QUOTE ]
Yes, he probably has KK or QQ, you can't read him for JJ here.. Also, it would be helpful if you had some flop reads on him like if he likes to slowplay or not but i guess when he only puts in money 8% of the time its hard to get a read other than uber nit

[/ QUOTE ]

Meh, might be nice if you had some kind of read based on past hands but in this case theres just 0 decision, it's such a push

[ajmargarine]

Push-a-rooni. Ya, he's got JJ sometimes. He's got QQ/KK, misc. other more.

[svidrigailov]

How accurate is 75 hands of data?

I stack off here.

[AsydRayne]

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, nits play KK/QQ this way as well, if he has JJ it's pretty nasty but you may also see AK[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] so shoving here is definitely +EV.

Btw - that reraise is too small and you should probably bump it to $7, you're giving them pretty good odds to call with a lot esp. since they have position.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good point on the $7.

spoiler warning!!!

I repushed and got stacked...The only hand I was worried about was JJ and he actually had 44 which I didn't expect.

[derosnec]

from experience, nits (25nl though) don't raise overpairs, even on drawy boards