50PLO: Am I being freerolled for 3 buy ins?

[Grandezza]

Thought this was appropriate with the other freerolling thread.

Villain is something like 40/20/4 over 40 hands.

Full Tilt Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $48.05
UTG+1: $190.75
CO: $32.70
Button: $23.30
SB: $73.30
Hero: $158.95

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, CO (poster) checks, Button calls, SB calls, Hero (poster) checks.

Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($3, 6 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $3</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $7.5</font>, 3 folds, Hero calls.

Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($18, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $15</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $63</font>

I thought leading the turn was good so I could get more information.. well I still didn't know what to do.

[RoundTower]

yes you probably are. Call now, but I would prefer lead turn small or check.

[Bobby Knight]

[ QUOTE ]
yes you probably are. Call now, but I would prefer lead turn small or check.

[/ QUOTE ]

[grizy]

[ QUOTE ]
yes you probably are. Call now, but I would prefer lead turn small or check.

[/ QUOTE ]

welcome back, care to catch my flue?

[sdill]

I wouldn't rule out a 7 8 9 x with flush draw. Many will play this agressively as in this hand. However, as played, I think he already has the straight and a flush draw. I like a check call on the turn, and push a non heart, non board pairing river.

[ImprovinNewbie]

i may be mistaken but you have the nut straight right now? the turn was a blank, what are you behind too? the heart draw with a set? and thats a coinflip right?

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
i may be mistaken but you have the nut straight right now? the turn was a blank, what are you behind too? the heart draw with a set? and thats a coinflip right?

[/ QUOTE ]

He's being freerolled by anything with a nut straight and redraws whether its a 9 or a FD.

[CrushinFelt]

I may fold this just because

1) You've only got $15 invested
2) A lot of river cards make you vomit
3) If you are ahead it's likely not by much
4) There's probably better places to get your money in seeing as you and villain appear to be destroying the table

[AlfilRey]

the only thing that shud make u vomit is the notion of folding with the nuts given wots in pot, wots left to call and size of game. the PROBABLE thing is that he too has the nuts without a redraw, or at best a tiny redraw like a gutshot to a higher straight. also if he has a flush draw its like a 20% redraw, so what? still gotta call even if u knew he had this. same goes for a set. u cuda checked turn but who cares, its $50 plo.

[AlfilRey]

at higher levels it mite be an idea to flat call here, and push ai on a card that pairs board / makes the flush. i mean as villain has played hand, he shows up the nut str8 here 95%+ of the time, and i think 70% of time at least he has bare nut straight. hes gonna call your ai raise on the turn anyway, and if he does have a redraw which hits ur getting stacked anyway, but this way if he DOESNT have a redraw, then you have some fold equity by representing the draw yourself. Of course, this is $50 plo and the guy´s almost certainly a moron, and will not fold no matter wot hits on river, so u mite aswell get your money in with the nuts.