100nl - How's my analysis of this hand...top two.

ihtfp · #1 02-05-2007, 08:31 PM

Villain is 16/12/3

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $101.95
CO: $100
Button: $26.25
SB: $97.50
BB: $117.20

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Hero raises to $4, CO calls, 3 folds.

Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($9.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $6, CO calls.

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($21.5, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $16, Hero calls.

River: K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($53.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $30, CO folds.
Uncalled bets: $30 returned to Hero.

Results:
Final pot: $53.5

Preflop: I think I can get away with raising KJo on this table...

Flop: I had been cbetting full-pot and villains were folding like crazy, so I decided to bet 2/3 pot here. My idea was to get weaker hands to call and maybe to get aggro villain to raise a draw here.

Turn: I think c/c here is better than b/f or b/c. It induces bluffs from villains who like to bluff scare cards, and it gets us to a showdown cheaper than any line where we lead this turn. If we get raised on this turn, we are in a very poor spot IMO where we are likely to make a very wrong decision.

River: I think at this point the only thing I'm getting more money out of is the flush and a worse king. I led this river because I think most Kx hands will call my $30 bet, and most flush hands will try to put me all-in.

Kinda curious to see what you guys think of this thought process...especially the 2/3 pot cbet (too small?) and the c/c line on the turn.

orange · #2 02-05-2007, 08:33 PM

pf is whatever, i typically dump but mmmm.

flop you need to bet more. $8+ is goot.

turn is fine. i sometimes bet smallish here as you wont get raised without a flush most times. river is fine. well played for the most part.

Jay Riall · #3 02-05-2007, 08:33 PM

Bet $7 or $8 on the flop. I like a check-raise AI on the river, but leading for $33 or so looks fine also.