Outs + FE?

[delta k]

Villain here is 30/15/3 over 700 hands or so. I'm about 25/17. Is this a +EV play or should I just fold the flop? I think calling is out of the question. As villain, what hands are you folding here? Calling w/?


Starting Stacks
Seat 1: Button (Hero) ($259)
Seat 2: Small blind ($201.88)
Seat 3: Big blind ($353.90)
Seat 4: UTG ($200.55)
Seat 5: LP ($123.80)
Seat 6: CO ($299.87)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls ($2), Hero raises ($10), <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Big blind raises ($28), CO folds, Hero calls ($18)

Flop: ($61) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Big blind bets ($56), Hero all-in ($231)

[Green Kool Aid]

calling RR pre is pretty bad IMO, and without doing math, push here is prob pretty close to neutral EV.

[drewvy]

I'm not the best w/ the math but I'm pretty sure it's not +EV on the flop...As Villain I'm calling JJ+

[EddieRooo]

It seems likely that he is calling with any PP that he raised with so I don't think you have loads of FE. But you have redraws so its just a case of plugging that in.

[Big_Jim]

Fold pre.

Flop is super standard.