($22) Call AI with the nut flush draw?

[FeNeF]

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

Hero (t1500)
UTG+1 (t1670)
MP1 (t1600)
MP2 (t1380)
MP3 (t1400)
CO (t1450)
Button (t1520)
SB (t1480)
BB (t1500)

Preflop: Hero is in UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
<font color="red">Hero raises to t80</font>, <font color="gray">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP2 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP3 folds</font>, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="red">Button raises to t160</font>, SB calls t150, <font color="gray">BB folds</font>, Hero calls t80

Flop: (t500) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, <font color="red">Button bets t220</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to t1320 (All-in)</font>, Hero?

No reads yet.

[30hourdays]

With no reads, and considering the action on the flop, I'd give us about 12 outs (9 full outs for the flush, and 3 more partial outs for two o/c's), which means calling would be playing for all our chips early on, for a coin flip (or perhaps much worse, if we're already up against a set or two pair.)

I'm probably folding this.

[RexWoo]

Isn't this an easy fold ? (I might miss something)

[FeNeF]

Well there's already a decent chunk of change in the pot, and there is a decent change of a 3-way all in pot.

[RexWoo]

You have something like 1,5:1 for your chips, no ? (you can't really count on button's overcall) so you need roughly 39% equity, probably much more due to ICM effect (lets say 45%)

vs maid straigth : 36%
vs ThTx : 48%
vs JhJ/QhQ : 50.2%
vs KK : 47.5 %
vs AA : 37.7 %
vs a set : 26%
vs TP+ straight draw : 47%
vs TP + flush draw : 41.4%

It's harder to decide than I initialy thought, obviously

[speedyg]

You can also throw in the occasional flush draw or str8 draw which you are currently leading.

[RexWoo]

[ QUOTE ]
You can also throw in the occasional flush draw or str8 draw which you are currently leading.

[/ QUOTE ]

Obviously

[speedyg]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You can also throw in the occasional flush draw or str8 draw which you are currently leading.

[/ QUOTE ]

Obviously

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Obviously Obviously [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Phil Van Sexton]

That's a lot of chips, I'd probably call.