overpair/scareless board facing action, now what? nl200

[n1nj4.br]

Villian is something like 60/15/1.5 over ~150 hands.

I've been playing tagish, cbeting a lot etc.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $207.05
UTG+1: $186.20
Hero: $200
Button: $220.25
SB: $220.80
BB: $238.35

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $9</font>, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($21, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $21</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $42</font>, Hero calls (?)

Turn: 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($105, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 is all-in $135.2</font>, Hero ?

[epdaws]

This is a pretty high variance spot, and you're going to have a better read than we can provide. What did your gut tell you? It's often right.

Even against a Villain with these stats, it's usually a fold for me as you are beating only a bluff, really.

[n1nj4.br]

Hmn, to be honest, I think he would do it with 33-77/QQ+ or something like A2s.

My gut said to fold, but i called.

He showed 3's and i lost. I have to trust my gut more. Anyway, not sure why I posted here, as I knew i should just fold.

thx for the reply anyway epdaws.

[epdaws]

[ QUOTE ]
Hmn, to be honest, I think he would do it with 33-77/QQ+ or something like A2s.

My gut said to fold, but i called.

He showed 3's and i lost. I have to trust my gut more. Anyway, not sure why I posted here, as I knew i should just fold.

thx for the reply anyway epdaws.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is not always accurate, but our knee-jerk, insta-reaction to an opponent's play is often correct. In marginal spots like this, I try to go with my first feeling.