Risking My Whole Tournament as the Favorite

[jakedaman12]

Below is a hand, my last hand from the $33 deep stack tourney (I am jakedarake12). The tournament started with 700 players. There were about 160 left and I was ranked 100.

I needed to make a move sometime, but not right away(M=14.5).

I flop the nuts, but there are 2 hearts out there. One (good player) bets half the pot and gets a quick call.

I know that there is a flush draw out there. The question is do I raise now (if so go all-in now or not) and risk my tournament life (with a slight edge - if there is AKh, AJh its about a coin flip , 9xh and he has 12 outs to win or split) or wait to the turn, see if a heart comes out; if it does make a good lay down, if not, go all in when I am 4:1

What to do???





PokerStars Game #6923551763: Tournament #35144043, $30+$3 Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) Ante 25- 2006/11/06 - 22:22:57 (ET)
Table '35144043 47' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: blanding (17059 in chips)
Seat 2: magicmy (21810 in chips)
Seat 3: Marine Recon (21912 in chips)
Seat 4: jedi1066 (17263 in chips)
Seat 5: jimmyk (24443 in chips)
Seat 6: Stoweski (8890 in chips)
Seat 7: badboy112 (74345 in chips)
Seat 8: jakedarake12 (12440 in chips)
Seat 9: SonyGuy (14868 in chips)

magicmy: posts small blind 200
Marine Recon: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to jakedarake12 [Jd 9d]
jedi1066: calls 400
jimmyk: folds
Stoweski: calls 400
badboy112: folds
jakedarake12: calls 400
SonyGuy: folds
blanding: folds
magicmy: calls 200
Marine Recon: checks
*** FLOP *** [Ts Qh 8h]
magicmy: checks
Marine Recon: checks
jedi1066: bets 1200
Stoweski: calls 1200
jakedarake12: raises 2800 to 4000
magicmy: folds
Marine Recon: folds
jakedarake12 said, "AQ"
jedi1066: raises 12000 to 16000
Stoweski: folds
jakedarake12: calls 8015 and is all-in
*** TURN *** [Ts Qh 8h] [4h]
*** RIVER *** [Ts Qh 8h 4h] [6d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
jedi1066: shows [Kh Ah] (a flush, Ace high)
jakedarake12: shows [Jd 9d] (a straight, Eight to Queen)
jedi1066 collected 27455 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 27455 | Rake 0
Board [Ts Qh 8h 4h 6d]

Thanks for your feedback!

[Omahahaha]

[ QUOTE ]

What to do???

jakedarake12 said, "AQ"

[/ QUOTE ]

not that.

[jakedaman12]

Thats true. but there is history to that from previous hands. nevertheless, still the wrong thing to do.

[BaHorst]

Get his money in then. He's risking his life as the underdog.

[elstunar]

Raise more on flop, bet about the size of the pot, there are 5 ppl seeing the flop, board is drawy, you have nuts, good chance you'll get action, never fold this or even think about it on flop, and next time please use a hand converter, it makes it easier to read

[FortunaMaximus]

[ QUOTE ]
jedi1066: bets 1200
Stoweski: calls 1200
jakedarake12: raises 2800 to 4000

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't get this. Why raise so small here? You're practically begging the draw to come along and stack you, and to the draw's point of view, you could've had KQ or QT and he still had plenty of outs against that. Hearts and J's.

[mornelth]

Post it in BBV?...

[Foucault]

Your WHOLE tournament? All 14 BB's of it?

[gtarplr84]

the way that hand played out is just "poker" what can i say.. it would be a bad move after the flop to let them see the turn that cheap.. only other thing would be to push after the flop and dont give them the odds.. but is that the play? i would like to know

[elstunar]

[ QUOTE ]
Your WHOLE tournament? All 14 BB's of it?

[/ QUOTE ]

12440/400= 14?