River bluff, deep

Kirkrrr · #1 11-03-2006, 04:53 AM

Opponent is TAG, no reads other than that.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $10/$20
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $2282
CO: $2000
Hero: $4706
SB: $2229
BB: $8272

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, Hero raises to $70, SB folds, BB raises to $260, Hero calls.

Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($530, 2 players)
BB bets $400, Hero calls.

Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($1330, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $800, BB calls.

River: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($2930, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero is all-in $3246...

Kirk

luckychewy · #2 11-03-2006, 04:57 AM

i think you should the turn and check the river. you're repping exactly a flopped set here? or mayyyyybe 99, just not gonna work v often imo. if he folds u prob had the best hand.

rebuyboy · #3 11-03-2006, 04:58 AM

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i think you should the turn and check the river. you're repping exactly a flopped set here? or mayyyyybe 99, just not gonna work v often imo. if he folds u prob had the best hand.

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What do you think he check-calls turn with that is now worse than nines up?

luckychewy · #4 11-03-2006, 05:03 AM

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[ QUOTE ]
i think you should the turn and check the river. you're repping exactly a flopped set here? or mayyyyybe 99, just not gonna work v often imo. if he folds u prob had the best hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you think he check-calls turn with that is now worse than nines up?

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55-88/bigger clubs. maybe not the best line for him but def possible we are good here.

Nezzar · #5 11-03-2006, 05:12 AM

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i think you should the turn and check the river. you're repping exactly a flopped set here? or mayyyyybe 99, just never gonna work. if he folds u prob had the best hand.

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Kirkrrr · #6 11-03-2006, 05:36 AM

So you guys are saying JJ+ never folds this river!?? If that's the case, my understanding of poker must be seriously flawed.

Kirk

emil3000 · #7 11-03-2006, 05:38 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i think you should the turn and check the river. you're repping exactly a flopped set here? or mayyyyybe 99, just not gonna work v often imo. if he folds u prob had the best hand.

[/ QUOTE ]
He might fold JJ no? Turn play at least seems possible with that hand.

luckychewy · #8 11-03-2006, 06:08 AM

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So you guys are saying JJ+ never folds this river!?? If that's the case, my understanding of poker must be seriously flawed.

Kirk

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no, not never. i never implied that. i just think the way the hand played out, you probably raise this flop more often than not w/ a set, right? once the board pairs on the turn it's a great card for him to check and control pot size/induce blufs w/ jj-aa if he thinks you are floating or you might v-bet a worse made hand. then on the riv the same thing applies, and since it's a blank i think he will prob talk himself into a call w/ jj-aa if he views you as aggro and capable. i just don't think it's that good a bluff, nor do i think your understanding of poker is flawed.