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#1
10-17-2006, 09:25 AM
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Bodog $300NL-6Max Deepstacks AA facing overbet push on turn
Not sure which forum this should go in since very few people play these stakes but i decided to post here b/c of the deep stacks.
(B4 anyone asks, Bodog just added $2/$3 6max tables last week) Villian is ultra-loose, i've played around 100 hands with him so far, he's probably had money in around 40-50% of pots. Only significant reads I have on him are that he cant lay down top pair (regardless of kicker) and he typically overbets pots. A few hands before this one I'd noticed that in a couple pots he was betting a lot smaller and from the way those hands played out preflop i was pretty sure he had made top 2/set. I start the hand with $573. He has me covered. UTG Limps, HERO (UTG+1) raises to $14 with A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. CO Folds. VILLIAN (Button) calls $14. SB Folds. BB Folds. UTG Calls $11. Flop is 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (Pot = $47) UTG Checks. HERO bets $40. VILLIAN raises to $95. UTG Folds. Hero calls $55. Turn is 3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. (Pot is $237) Hero Checks. Villian moves allin for $529.25. Hero ????? I have $464 left in my stack to call. I like this turn card as every draw misses and i now beat 57 and 7sXs has lost some outs. My instinct tells me he has a very strong draw. I really cant see him playing a boat/trips this hard. In the last several pots we've played I have called his flop raises before and folded the turn. Is calling here +ev? 
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#2
10-17-2006, 09:31 AM
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Re: Bodog $300NL-6Max Deepstacks AA facing overbet push on turn
[ QUOTE ]
Villian is ultra-loose, i've played around 100 hands with him so far, he's probably had money in around 40-50% of pots. Only significant reads I have on him are that he cant lay down top pair (regardless of kicker) and he typically overbets pots. [/ QUOTE ] Call. Definitely +EV.
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#4
10-17-2006, 12:59 PM
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Re: Bodog $300NL-6Max Deepstacks AA facing overbet push on turn
[ QUOTE ]
Call. If you check, you definintely have to call. If he has 34, chalk it up under varaince. [/ QUOTE ] This is bodog, his range could include anything at all. My thoughts: WC3King (11:56:09 AM): well WC3King (11:56:21 AM): your read is that he underbets made hands WC3King (11:56:28 AM): and overbets chit WC3King (11:56:37 AM): turn card just looks like 78s WC3King (11:56:40 AM): or something like that call and lose on the river.
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#5
10-17-2006, 01:15 PM
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Re: Bodog $300NL-6Max Deepstacks AA facing overbet push on turn
Against this opponent, I would almost always 3-bet the flop and try and get it in there. Villain will call with 7s8s, 7s6s, and any over pair.
If I'm just calling the raise on the flop, it is so I can get in on the turn when I have more equity against the obvious draws. I hope that is what you were thinking. I call this push all day.
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#6
10-17-2006, 01:20 PM
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Re: Bodog $300NL-6Max Deepstacks AA facing overbet push on turn
[ QUOTE ]
Against this opponent, I would almost always 3-bet the flop and try and get it in there. Villain will call with 7s8s, 7s6s, and any over pair. If I'm just calling the raise on the flop, it is so I can get in on the turn when I have more equity against the obvious draws. I hope that is what you were thinking. I call this push all day. [/ QUOTE ]
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#7
10-17-2006, 01:31 PM
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Re: Bodog $300NL-6Max Deepstacks AA facing overbet push on turn
[ QUOTE ]
If I'm just calling the raise on the flop, it is so I can get in on the turn when I have more equity against the obvious draws. [/ QUOTE ] That was my exact thought. I was going to c/r allin on a safe turn, wasnt really expecting a shove. I eventually called, he had 8s9s, river was a Tc, shipit.
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