$200 NL, AA gets check minraised on the turn?! wtf?!

otis_nixon · #1 08-17-2006, 11:34 AM

Villain here is 50/2/1 after 92 hands, can definitely be over aggressive, I've got almost 200 BB and he covers.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($292.33)
Button ($422.50)
SB ($444.40)
BB ($200)
UTG ($774.35)
Hero ($389.34)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
UTG calls $2, Hero raises to $10, 4 folds, UTG calls $8.

Flop: ($23) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $16, UTG calls $16.

Turn: ($55) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $35, UTG raises to $70, Hero ??????

He's 0/17 on turn check-raises so far, fwiw. Frankly, I want to fold. There's maybe a chance he'd do this with something like AQ but I'm not sure. Or KK. But he could easily have trips or a flush, he loves the suited cards.

What do I do?

aces_full · #2 08-17-2006, 11:46 AM

Fold.

If I had the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] I would probably continue with the hand, but it looks like you are drawing very thin. Even if he does this with AQ or KK sometimes, you have only about 21% pot equity against his range, and you don't have the implied odds to river the nut boat.

SonOfWestwood · #3 08-17-2006, 11:50 AM

I would think that he'd raise w/ KK, and probably AQ, pre-flop, right?

This sucks, but I think I'd let it go. There really isn't much that we beat. The Q on the turn makes him having pairs like 77-JJ less likely, as he'd probably just want to get to showdown cheap after seeing a Q.

Facing 35 to call the turn and a probable 100+ bet on the river is too much to have to pay to see if he's doing this with something bizarre.

testaaja · #4 08-17-2006, 11:55 AM

Seems lik a fold to me with that turn c/r percent. Other line would be to call and see a river.

fizzle · #5 08-17-2006, 12:01 PM

His PFR is pretty low but I still don't think he has AQ or KK very often here.