#1
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aka Spirit Rock
Started at 02/May/06 19:24:40
serb2127 is at seat 0 with $9939. twin-caracas1 is at seat 1 with $9698. HammerG is at seat 3 with $39255.50. im sleeping is at seat 4 with $36161. SwiftRaisE is at seat 5 with $13848. The button is at seat 3. im sleeping posts the small blind of $50. SwiftRaisE posts the big blind of $100. serb2127: -- -- twin-caracas1: -- -- HammerG: -- -- im sleeping: -- -- SwiftRaisE: -- -- Pre-flop: serb2127 folds. twin-caracas1 folds. HammerG raises to $350. im sleeping calls. SwiftRaisE folds. Flop (board: Qc 8s 8c): im sleeping bets $800. HammerG calls. Turn (board: Qc 8s 8c 5h): im sleeping bets $2400. HammerG calls. River (board: Qc 8s 8c 5h 5s): im sleeping bets $21000. HammerG calls. Showdown: im sleeping shows 2s 2c. im sleeping has Qc 8s 8c 5h 5s: two pair, eights and fives. HammerG shows Td 8d. HammerG has 8d 8s 8c 5h 5s: full house, eights full of fives. Hand #31223038-13009 Summary: $2 is raked from a pot of $49200. HammerG wins $49198 with full house, eights full of fives. ------------------------------------------------------------ great fun watching him play..... |
#2
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
aweful play LOL.
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#3
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
[ QUOTE ]
aweful play LOL. [/ QUOTE ]go sit in that game then. ANd I assume if it's such a bad play, it's a transparent bluff, next time call him with A hi |
#4
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
i wish i was as cool as mahatma.
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#5
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
previous hands?
this looks like him on tilt. |
#6
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
[ QUOTE ]
aweful play LOL. [/ QUOTE ] *awful* spelling LOL. |
#7
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
Zeebo, KKF:
Thoughts on river flat call? |
#8
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
Well I'm not either Zeebo or KKF, but with his holding I don't see the point for a raise here really, since mahatma won't be folding an 8 ever, and will never call with anything less (I hope). If we have any reason to believe he could have been bluffing on the flop with A5/56 or w/e, AND would make that river bet, AND would call a push, then we'd of course push, but I find that very much less likely than 55 here, or a (less likely) very strange QQ.
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#9
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
From Mahatma's point of view the expected value of the play is: -p*21,000 + (1-p)*7,200 where p is the probability he gets called. (Assuming he always loses when called -- which is pretty certain.) For the play to be +EV, p has to be less than 7,200/28,200 -- roughly 25%.
So, as long as he believes his opponent will fold 75% of the time, the play is +EV. Does 75% seem too unreasonable given what we might expect HammerG's range to be against Mahatma? Note: edited to change 25% to 75% - had the right idea in my head, typed the wrong word in the post. |
#10
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Re: aka Spirit Rock
I think the only thing strange about playing QQ in that mannor would be the flop bet.
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