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AA377 vs AA24Q, 5 card omaha7...
This hand came up in my home game, 5/10 blinds, No Limit, dealers choice. $500 buy in, can rebuy for another $500 if under $500 in chips. It's a friendly game - we've been playing together for over 10 years. Mostly medium limit, but now we play twice a week - one NL, the other limit.
Game is five card, 7 or better. Anyway, I had about 3k in chips, in middle position. Very tight player - never gets outta line, rarely, if ever, bluffs, raises a few limpers in later position to $120. This means he has a premium hand - at least A2 with another baby and nut flush draw... I see AA377, one ace is suited. I throw in $500 - fyi, I have a fairly tight image too. Everyone folds to opponent - I can see him thinking. I know 100% now that he has AA2 with another baby minimum. He pushes $4000 into the middle. Ooopss...I though he only had about $1000 more...and I've never seen this guy bet more than $500 unless he had the nuts with redraws - so this is a very surprising bet. In case your wondering, I'd bet my life that he had AA2xx. Question: What is my EV with this type of match up? How often will I split/scoop/get scooped/quartered? I can't find my Omaha8 program. FWIW, I folded. Mainly because I don't play well being down a lot (I had bought tin for $2000 already), and because there are a couple real loosey players in the game who will make very reckless, even foolish, plays. So while I thought the right move was to call (to win back my $500), I didn't want to risk 2500 to do it. Any feedback would be appreciated. I felt a little lame laying this hand down. We rabbit hunted, btw. Flop. J33, turn 5, river 7. We would've chopped. Of course, had I just called the flop - I would've taken the pot down then... manku |
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