bet this river?

[gamblore99]

live 20-40, 9 handed
I've been more or less off for 4 months, I think this is standard. But some comments would be nice.

Preflop:
- folded to mp who raises- I think he is a professional as he is always here, but he's not a very good one. I have seen him call early position raises with Ajo, and cold call 3bets with hands like Aq. He also rebuys in with 5 BB when he goes bust (this happens very ofter).

-I 3bet with TT.

-Button, is always here and I know she is a professional. I think she is a little loose preflop, but plays very well post flop.

-BB loose passive and cold calls, MP also calls.

4 to the flop for 12.5 small bets.

Flop:
flop 555
-checked to me, I bet, Button raises, mp cold calls, I 3bet, everyone calls.

Turn:
3 completing the rainbow. 10.75 BB (3 players)
-checked to me, I bet, button calls, mp folds

River:
2
Hero?

[bakku]

easy easy bet. maaaybe she has JJ. what else can she have that beats you?

[Chipspin]

[ QUOTE ]
easy easy bet. maaaybe she has JJ. what else can she have that beats you?

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed. I think you can expect to see 77-99 here a lot. Sure, JJ or QQ is possible, but certainly less than 50%.

VB is mandatory.

[tradingman123]

Not betting this river would be awful.

[StrictlyStrategy]

zzzzzzzzzzzzz

[gamblore99]

[ QUOTE ]
easy easy bet. maaaybe she has JJ. what else can she have that beats you?

[/ QUOTE ]

I kind of thought the only thing she could have was jj.

Anyways we both check. After I turn over my hand, she shows 99. This really suprised me, because I thought cold calling with 99 was kind of ridiculous.

Any thought on flop and turn?

[Chipspin]

[ QUOTE ]
Any thought on flop and turn?

[/ QUOTE ]

Played perfectly.

[SA125]

[ QUOTE ]
I kind of thought the only thing she could have was jj.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was thinking JJ also and therefore a nasty river c/r. You said she plays really well post flop, so she's not above bet/folding.

If she had JJ, she'll almost definitely bet it for value if ch'd too. If your image is anything near tight, a river c/r by you there and she'd have to feel totally used and abused to call it.

[private joker]

I'm assuming button cold-called 3 PF? I would value bet the river. Yeah she might have JJ (a common cold-calling-3 hand PF) but if she didn't raise the turn she isn't raising the river. You will also obviously get calls from 22-99.

[andyfox]

Bet. Her most likely hand is a pocket pair smaller than yours; even if she has pocket jacks, she's unlikely to raise in the face of your aggression. MP's fold on the turn was likely two high cards, lowering accordingly button's chances of having a bigger pair than yours.