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#1
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Villain is pretty loose and post flop pretty much a calling station, running 43/19/0.8 over about a 100 hands. His PF raises are minraises mostly though.
I'm running at 18/11 at this table. Is this value bet on the river ok? The Q is a little scary but he did not show any strenght so far so I can't give him credit for that, right? Comments very welcome... Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter SB: $70.85 BB: $67.95 Hero (UTG): $48.20 UTG+1: $57.05 MP1: $33.50 MP2: $51.35 CO: $94.25 BTN: $94.80 Pre-Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG) Hero calls $0.50, 4 folds, BTN calls $0.50, SB folds, BB checks Flop: ($1.75) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players) BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $1.50</font>, BTN calls $1.50, BB folds Turn: ($4.75) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, BTN checks River: ($4.75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $3</font> |
#2
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what do you hope he will call with?
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#3
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I guess he's hoping for calls by 34, A5, junk like that. This is about as razor thin as you can get IMO (i.e. I wouldn't) but you would know better than me. What else has he shown down?
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#4
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I wouldn't be surprised if a Q9 kind of hand looks you up. There aren't really any tangible draws on the flop and with that AF its possible that he will not bet his Q on any street.
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#5
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[ QUOTE ]
I guess he's hoping for calls by 34, A5, junk like that. This is about as razor thin as you can get IMO (i.e. I wouldn't) but you would know better than me. What else has he shown down? [/ QUOTE ] That's pretty exactly what I hope for, like every flush draw with third or fourth pair. We have to remember that he really is a calling station, that's exactly why I make this (I admit pretty thin) value bet here. And he really showed down a lot of strange hands so far like As8s when board was 8 T Qs 2s K and he paid off KQ on the river... Anyway would like to hear some more opinions, I'll post results later if there is interest... |
#6
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Actually, I think he probably would have bet a Q or maybe even a pair of 5's or 7's on the river. I think that he plays JJ-88/66/33 this way about 50% of the time collectively.
I think you can bet it. You are going to get called by 22 and A-high often enough, imo. |
#7
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There was no flush draw on the flop, so 43 is the only draw which could have paired. If he might calldown with some ridiculous A-high hand, I like it.
[ QUOTE ] I think he probably would have bet a Q or maybe even a pair of 5's or 7's on the river. [/ QUOTE ] Villain is button, we don't know his river action yet. |
#8
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[ QUOTE ]
There was no flush draw on the flop, so 43 is the only draw which could have paired. If he might calldown with some ridiculous A-high hand, I like it. [ QUOTE ] I think he probably would have bet a Q or maybe even a pair of 5's or 7's on the river. [/ QUOTE ] Villain is button, we don't know his river action yet. [/ QUOTE ] Meh, sure we do... [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
#9
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meh, i guess bet. i would usually opt for a check/call but it doesn't seem like he will bluff us very often. It just sucks b/c even though I doubt he is folding a pair we beat, there are just so few hands he could have that we beat with which he could reasonably call.
If you really think he looks you up with A high then I like it. |
#10
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I;d check it still
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