How's this riverbluff

[Vammakala]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (4 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter

Hero ($107.95)
SB ($112.70)
BB ($114.75)
UTG ($265.10)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $3</font>, Hero calls $3, SB calls $2.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($10) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($10) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $5</font>, UTG calls $5, Hero calls $5.

River: ($25) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>

Obviously they both checked so it's hard to believe they'd have Ax or KQ. Then again, my pattern is fairly consistent with either of those hands. What do you think? I don't have good reads on the villains yet. Which range will I get called here?

[GoldenIP]

I'm not sure I'm loving it to be honest. The UTG raiser might be raising with something like AK, AQ etc but may not be comfortable betting the river with all 5 cards down. At that stage he's probably thinking his Ax has showdown value and I'm thinking thats a reason he perhaps didn't bet the river himself. However, he might well call thinking he's just about good.

Into one player I'd say okay but two, I think you might get someone calling curiously more often than not.

I'd also make it about $18/19.

I'm sure this will work some of the time, but whether it will work enough of the time to be profitable...I'm not convinced.

[Kurtiii]

the way this hand went you will probably get looked up by a J or even a T. And it´s not that unlikely that someone decided his A8 is good on the turn, after the flop got checked around. Also AK,AQ type hands might have decided to take a stab on the turn with a gutshot etc., or call with it in UTGs case. So i don´t like it alot.
Actually, asuming i somehow checked the flop, without the 8 on the flop, i will sometimes raise this turn, wich has a good chance of folding out a T and pocket pairs 55-99 and if you get called and make your flush it´s pretty likely by a strong enough hand to pay you off on the river.

I would rather bet this flop though, this is not the type of board that hit´ s an UTG raiser usually and he showed weakness by checking. Also it builds up a pot if you hit and probably gives you a free card if you choose to take it.

[bet2win]

bet the flop

id bet 20 on the river

[Vammakala]

Aye, this did take down the pot this time, just wonderin if it's any good. You see I can't win showdowns so I need to hone my bluffin' skillz. (one of the only pots I've ever won in 100nl - down $1600 over last 3.7k hands).

SOMEONE TEACH ME! (I beat 50nl 6+ PTBB/100 over the whole poonuggeting year and i lose -20 PTBB/100 at around same pace).

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]