tough spot w/KK facing river shove

[cd1680]

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players

Stack sizes:
UTG: $42.25
UTG+1: $63.55
CO: $58.65
Button: $51
Hero: $54.85
BB: $113.70

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with kh kd
3 folds, Button raises to $1.75, Hero raises to $5.75, BB folds, Button calls.

Flop: 4d 7s 3c ($12, 2 players)
Hero bets $7.5, Button calls.

Turn: 9s ($27, 2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

River: ts ($27, 2 players)
Hero bets $15.25, Button raises all-in $37.75, Hero ????

villain is 82/24/0.94 over 404 hands and i am playing pretty solid at 18/11/2.13 over 135 hands. with the low aggeression factor i think he either has a set or some sort of 2 pair combination there. i checked the turn for pot control because i knew i was either way ahead or way behind. any criticisms on my play with this hand?

[EMc]

CALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Actually you should beat him into the pot and valuebet teh [censored] outta him.

[ICMoney]

Are you usually beat here? Probably.
Do you win more than 22% of the time? I think so.

Even against a bleak range you have 27% equity:
99+,77,44-33,AsKs,AsQs,AsJs,As4s,As3s,As2s,97s,86s.


His low agression is actaully skewed by how many hands he is playing. An AF of 1 is actually high for someone with an 82 (!!) VPIP.

Did he usually min raise or make a PSR pf?

There is no way you can bet fold here.
I just don't see him checking behind a set with straight/flush draws on the turn. Especially when he has 1.5x the pot left and will not be able to overbet shove and get called that often.

[ryang]

convert plZZZ :\