$50 - 97s Flops OESD, board pairs

[Manchild84]

Interesting hand...
Villain is 30/21/2 over a decent sample (200 hands), and I've been running 17/16/7.5..
Drawing hands OOP are tricky, especially if board is paired, so what do you think of this? I was planning to fold to most non minraises on river.

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $47.50
BB: $56.55
UTG: $50.00
Hero (CO): $85.30
BTN: $66.45

Preflop: Hero is dealt (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.00</font>, BTN calls $2.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.75) (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $2.50</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7.00</font>, Hero calls $4.50

Turn: ($18.75) (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($18.75) (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $5.00</font>, BTN calls $5.00

Pot Size: $28.75 ($1.35 Rake)

[shoxbb6]

bet river for more, 12 is good.

[greggg230]

Durr, I didn't see you had a flush.

Yeah, 10-12 looks good.

[Manchild84]

Everytime? He's 30/21 so his cold calling range is far greater than just PPs, but I don't think it would include any 8s. 99,TT, JJ are all possible here.

[greggg230]

I can't imagine him not betting that turn with an overpair. It looks more like A8 "slowplaying" his trips on the turn.

[infinite_loop]

I'm somewhat inclined to betting big on the turn. His flop raise could be strong but remember he's on the button and could be trying to use position. I would probably bet slightly less than pot-sized on the turn. You probably take it down a lot, and if not, you're probably calling a push and check/folding a missed river. It depends on how much credit he gives your pre-flop raise. My guess is: not much.

Edit: I think I was looking at this hand a little wrong. Your pre-flop read is important. But upon second look I like the turn check. What about checking the river? I don't think you can really bet more than 1/2. If he has a boat he's raising your bet and it'll make it a tough decision. If you check you can get a lot of 8s to bet and you can avoid having to make a big call. Cool hand.

[molotom]

He can't really put you on the backdoor flush, so I think you can get away with a much larger value-bet on the river. I don't think he has a boat, if he decided to play his set fast on the flop, why would he check behind that turn? He'd at least make a small bet to juice the pot and give odds to draws (since they're dead).