Top pair and OESD... last time I posted one of these you said fold

[SomethingClever]

Villain is 22/16/6.5 over 369 hands.

Can he have anything but 99-JJ here?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$0.50/$1 Blinds
6 Players
LegoPoker HH Converter

SB: $106.85
BB: $103.65
UTG: $153.00
<font color="black">Hero (MP): $98.50</font>
CO: $132.85
BTN: $155.70

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.00</font>, CO folds, BTN calls $5.00, 3 folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($12.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $7.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $33.50</font>, Hero folds
Uncalled bet of $26.50 returned to BTN

Pot Size: $26.50 ($1.30 Rake)

[carnivalhobo]

sure he has QJ, TJ, KQ, 89, Ahxh sometimes

[dirtylobster]

Embrace variance.

[time4adrank]

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Embrace variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

[SomethingClever]

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sure he has QJ, TJ, KQ, 89, Ahxh sometimes

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Sooooooooooo.... fold or shove?

[Hince]

I don't like a cbet here. It doesn't give any information, and it's going to be hard to play a big pot OOP here on a lot of turns and river cards.

As played, you are probably drawing (and it may be a thin draw). I like folding if villian hasn't been to crazy.

[Paul Thomson]

I'd push all-in. you have more than enough equity (at least i think) since he rarely has AQ or a set here.

[Wolfram]

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Can he have anything but 99-JJ here?

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Lol, yes. This guy'll play a ton of hands like this. Bet/3bet AI. You are ahead of his range.

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I don't like a cbet here

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We have TP2K with an open ended straight draw and a pretty good runner runner flushdraw. This is an automatic bet. Why give worse hands a free card?