Flop top pair, villian cbets AI for 10x pot (NL25)

CalledDownLight · #1 08-01-2007, 05:41 PM

Villian is 19.8/11.9/5.0 over only 101 hands. Hasn't played a big pot in the 5 orbits this session. No other notes. Want to know whether its +EV or not. Please don't respond telling me to wait for a better spot because its not applicable.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|saw showdown

Hero ($31.85)
BB ($33.30)
UTG ($19.25)
MP1 ($25.10)
MP2 ($9.40)
CO ($39.65)
Button ($13.95)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $0.75, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.65, 1 fold.

Flop: ($1.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $18.5 (All-In), Hero ???

SABR42 · #2 08-01-2007, 05:45 PM

Fold.

A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] is about even money against you.

This is almost never trips, but that bet is too large to call profitably IMO.

CalledDownLight · #3 08-01-2007, 05:48 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Fold.

A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] is about even money against you.

This is almost never trips, but that bet is too large to call profitably IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]

any idea why he would do this with any hand? I mean this seems like about the least +EV way you could play any hand that doesn't have 2 unercards to the 10 imo. I agree that he never has trips. Pretty much looking to see if this is overcards more than overpairs.

TheRedRocket · #4 08-01-2007, 05:51 PM

at best its a flush draw with no overcards but with the 6-T combo he could have straight outs as well, otherwise its a better T, an overpair.

I fold, and while you don't want to, I would wait and look for an opportunity to check to him in a better spot