100NL - AA - is this a fold ?!?

lag0n · #1 05-30-2007, 04:43 PM

Villain is 17/7 (over 29 hands)
I've played 24/14 (over 29 hands)

Prima Poker skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $112.15
CO: $85.40
Button: $26.27
SB: $70.55
BB: $99.00

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Hero raises to $4, 2 folds, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($9, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6, SB calls.

Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($21, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $14, SB raises to $31.5, Hero...

Is this a fold or shove?
I have hard time believing that he could have a draw. I get the feeling he is just trying to suck me in.

cassette · #2 05-30-2007, 04:46 PM

Have you noticed anything about what range he cold calls OOP with? Have you seen him raising draws or marginal overpairs?

It would also be helpful to know his aggression factor. But without any other info I dump this.

kingofpoker · #3 05-30-2007, 04:47 PM

never fold AA. you will go far.

MLRTS · #4 05-30-2007, 05:12 PM

Push if you wanna play aggro, fold if you want to play tight.(lol this sounds really stupid)

I guess what I mean is, I would push this turn w a lot of draws and made hands, especially at the start of the session (70bb villain as well). If you push with AQs, AA, JT or 78 or whatever youre probably not losing much, mathematically, in the long run anyway (in my world). You stand to gain a lot though.

In a vacuum this is a fold, but that analysis is boring so i push.

I dont think his stats mean anything, unless this is the first hand you see him play.

graarrg · #5 05-30-2007, 08:04 PM

I shove. 66/TT/44 appear to be the hands that a 17/7 would be beating you with. The question then becomes, would he only do this with those holdings? what about JJ-KK? or 77-99? AT? KT? 89s+/-? etc.

But, judging by empirical discoveries of 2+2 posts, I assume you lost the hand?