Does baluga count for minraises?

[losingdonkey]

villain was 25/5/1 after 100 hands or so, I have trouble getting away from this turn. easy fold?

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 4 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $10.05
BB: $10.00
<u>UTG: $9.40</u>
<u>hero (BTN): $14.80</u>

Preflop: hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players)
UTG calls $0.10, <font color="red">hero raises to $0.50</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.15) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">hero bets $0.70</font>, UTG calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.55) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">hero bets $2.00</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $5.00</font>

[mugatu668]

bet more on flop.

[corsakh]

Just think what a minraise is, why and when a villain uses it.

ps This isn't even a minraise.

[Jouster777]

There is nothing absolute about the Baluga theorem...just a tendency that you are behind with one pair.

In this case you are still ahead some % of the time and will remain behind a certain % of the time. The interesting features are that the turn leaves you with 6 outs (good) and villain is passive (bad) and its only a near-minraise (good in terms of odds but potentially bad in terms of villain's range).

Given villain is passive I'd say you are behind here the majority of the time and possibly the vast majority of the time. Folding here is going to be fine. Calling probably requires a read that he'll check the river when ahead or gets out of line in this situation.

[ryang]

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bet more on flop.

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