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#1
03-26-2007, 01:58 PM
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NL50 two overcards and nuthflushdraw on flop
http://virta.info/hand/?id=108796324
Reads of the guy: overbets pots on river calls raise pf with Q5s bets flushdraws My hand was Ah Th 
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#2
03-26-2007, 02:07 PM
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Re: NL50 two overcards and nuthflushdraw on flop
When he pushes the flop, there's $96.5 in the pot and it costs you another $46.75 to call. You're getting better than 2:1, and you're 2:1 to hit your flush alone, so a call is only -EV if you put him squarely on a set. If your ace is an out as well as the hearts, then this is a definite call. If both your overs are good, you're ahead on the flop. Given the read, I have to believe villain's range is much, MUCH wider than just a set, so it's a call.
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#3
03-26-2007, 02:09 PM
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Re: NL50 two overcards and nuthflushdraw on flop
Looks like a call to me too; the variance on this play is high but against a player who's LAG (which seems to summarize your read) you will win in the long term.
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#4
03-26-2007, 02:13 PM
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Re: NL50 two overcards and nuthflushdraw on flop
Villain's range is pretty wide here I think, given his tendencies preflop. A set, two pair, overpair, Ax for a pair, and a flush draw might all be in his range.
Pot odds are favorable but calling here is obviously a high variance play. I'm aggressive with my strong draws though, so I call here most of the time.
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