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#1
07-10-2007, 06:02 AM
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Do stats show ones luck?
Recently ive been playing and running very well. Unfortunetly I have begun to get a mental block and have begun to fear that my good run will end. 5/10 limit 6 max with stats 27/24.5 and 40% went to sd, 57% won $ at sd, and total af 3.4; is there a way to asses how well or lucky one is running.
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#2
07-10-2007, 06:17 AM
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Re: Do stats show ones luck?
40/57 shows some luck. I believe default is something like 35/54; in other words, you went to showdown more often, and won more often as well, one amplifying the other.
27/24.5/3.4 shows you are raising too aggressively. The VPIP% is ok, but you raise too much preflop in comparison. Also, 3.4 AF with a 27/24.5 vpip/pfr is starting to turn maniacal. When vpip/pfr becomes higher, AF should go down somewhat, and a reasonable target is around 2.5 with these stats imho. So, yes, you're lucky [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] Don't worry, it will turn around. I sense a future $3k loss [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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#3
07-10-2007, 06:57 AM
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Re: Do stats show ones luck?
Noooooooooo !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11 HU for roles but only 200/400 limit lol
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#4
07-10-2007, 06:59 AM
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Re: Do stats show ones luck?
more importantly who to avoid on stars 6max 5/10 then. I want to give my money to the fish not to the regulars.
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#5
07-10-2007, 07:06 AM
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Re: Do stats show ones luck?
[ QUOTE ]
40/57 shows some luck. I believe default is something like 35/54; in other words, you went to showdown more often, and won more often as well, one amplifying the other. 27/24.5/3.4 shows you are raising too aggressively. The VPIP% is ok, but you raise too much preflop in comparison. Also, 3.4 AF with a 27/24.5 vpip/pfr is starting to turn maniacal. When vpip/pfr becomes higher, AF should go down somewhat, and a reasonable target is around 2.5 with these stats imho. So, yes, you're lucky [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] Don't worry, it will turn around. I sense a future $3k loss [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] Lol that's mean.
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#6
07-10-2007, 07:17 AM
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Re: Do stats show ones luck?
Once you have a decent baseline number, because it will vary greatly depending on the games & style you play, you can use "won $ when saw flop" as a generic barometer for how hot or cold you're running. I tend to steal a lot & win a bunch of small pots, so mine is generally in the low 40s...if I see that I'm only winning 35% of the time recently, or 25% during a table session, then I know that I'm likely running cold.
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#7
07-10-2007, 07:35 AM
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Q
[ QUOTE ]
Once you have a decent baseline number, because it will vary greatly depending on the games & style you play, you can use "won $ when saw flop" as a generic barometer for how hot or cold you're running. I tend to steal a lot & win a bunch of small pots, so mine is generally in the low 40s...if I see that I'm only winning 35% of the time recently, or 25% during a table session, then I know that I'm likely running cold. [/ QUOTE ] I also tend to sort the top 12 money-making hands (as we all know, these are: AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, AKo, AQo, AKs, AQs, AJs, KQs) and compare the Win% and W$SD% with previous long term results.
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#8
07-10-2007, 07:38 AM
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Re: Do stats show ones luck?
[ QUOTE ]
Lol that's mean. [/ QUOTE ] I've been running pretty bad; especially yesterday, when I lost another 100 BB. Therefore, I have little patience with lucky people atm [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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#9
07-10-2007, 09:40 AM
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Re: Do stats show ones luck?
[ QUOTE ]
more importantly who to avoid on stars 6max 5/10 then. I want to give my money to the fish not to the regulars. [/ QUOTE ] Try the Stars regulars thread in the Shorthanded forum. Also if you want answers on questions on your 6max stats you might try the shorthanded forum.
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