#1
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NL20: AKs, nut flush draw
Prima Poker skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 9 players Converter Stacks: Hero: $20.50 UTG+1: $34.13 MP1: $23.58 MP2: $17.80 MP3: $17.98 CO: $20.40 Button: $21.04 SB: $21.40 BB: $22.68 Reads: Villain is "winning" regular (1.97BB/100), running: 21/5/2.2 - 9989 hands. Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $0.8</font>, 2 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 folds, CO calls, 2 folds, BB calls. Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($3.3, 4 players) BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $2.1</font>, MP2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $4.69</font>, BB folds, Hero ? |
#2
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Re: NL20: AKs, nut flush draw
I'd stick it all in here. You've two overs and a flush draw so, assuming he's got a pair/overpair you're about 50/50 to win. If you factor in the chances that he could fold, then I think pushing is the best move for EV.
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#3
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Re: NL20: AKs, nut flush draw
Bet more on the flop.
As played, his raise is just more than a minraise. What does that usually mean from him? FWIW, i think he has a strong hand (ie set) so your overcards aren't clean. You are getting great odds to draw to your flush so i call and re-evaluate. |
#4
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Re: NL20: AKs, nut flush draw
I'm pretty sure he's not on a overpair here...I think his range includes sets, OESD's, and maybe something like Qd, Jd.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 25,740 games 0.031 secs 830,322 games/sec Board: 2d 5d 8s Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 54.996% 55.00% 00.00% 14156 0.00 { AdKd } Hand 1: 45.004% 45.00% 00.00% 11584 0.00 { 88, 55, 22, QdJd, 76s, 76o } Even without fold equity (which I don't think we're getting much of) shoving here is pretty damn sexy. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
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