NL20: AKs, nut flush draw

[ranka]

Prima Poker skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.20
9 players
Converter

Stacks:
Hero: $20.50
UTG+1: $34.13
MP1: $23.58
MP2: $17.80
MP3: $17.98
CO: $20.40
Button: $21.04
SB: $21.40
BB: $22.68

Reads:
Villain is "winning" regular (1.97BB/100), running: 21/5/2.2 - 9989 hands.

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $0.8</font>, 2 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 folds, CO calls, 2 folds, BB calls.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($3.3, 4 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $2.1</font>, MP2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $4.69</font>, BB folds, Hero ?

[ElectricWaffles]

I'd stick it all in here. You've two overs and a flush draw so, assuming he's got a pair/overpair you're about 50/50 to win. If you factor in the chances that he could fold, then I think pushing is the best move for EV.

[CallMeJohn]

Bet more on the flop.

As played, his raise is just more than a minraise. What does that usually mean from him?

FWIW, i think he has a strong hand (ie set) so your overcards aren't clean. You are getting great odds to draw to your flush so i call and re-evaluate.

[RapidEvolution]

I'm pretty sure he's not on a overpair here...I think his range includes sets, OESD's, and maybe something like Qd, Jd.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

25,740 games 0.031 secs 830,322 games/sec

Board: 2d 5d 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.996% 55.00% 00.00% 14156 0.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 45.004% 45.00% 00.00% 11584 0.00 { 88, 55, 22, QdJd, 76s, 76o }


Even without fold equity (which I don't think we're getting much of) shoving here is pretty damn sexy. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]