#1
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NL$200 Tough river spot against regular
Villain is a solid regular and my stats on him are around 16/11/3. I don't always call the flop but here I felt it was worth seeing his turn action. The turn card is good but doesn't slow villain down. I don't see him calling a raise with any hand I beat so I elect to call. However, come the river he can surely only ever have me beat or have absolutely nothing. Thoughts.
Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter SB: $194 BB: $201 UTG: $50.65 UTG+1: $194.35 UTG+2: $83.95 MP1: $483.15 MP2: $59.30 CO: $209.25 Hero (BTN): $202 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN) 6 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8</font>, SB folds, BB calls $6 Flop: ($17) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $12</font>, Hero calls $12 Turn: ($41) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $36</font>, Hero calls $36 River: ($113) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $100</font> Hero? |
#2
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Re: NL$200 Tough river spot against regular
you could be good here, if you know he would 3bet AK prf, and AQ is unlikely since you have a one of the Qs so he either has a set of 88s or missed flush draw, I would fold raise flop though and probably fold most of the time.
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#3
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Re: NL$200 Tough river spot against regular
Aside from folding the flop...
I almost never advocate a minraise...but ithink the turn is a pretty decent spot to put it in. He would probably push over you with AK or 88, but he'd probably just call the minraise with AQ/A8. You hate half of the deck on the river. Any 8, J, T, A, or spade and you're insta checkfolding. But on the turn I think you've definitely got some showdown value. Minraise = he will slow way down with any drawing hand or bare ace, and he will instantly let you know if he has you dominated. just my thoughts... |
#4
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Re: NL$200 Tough river spot against regular
yeah pretty easy call.
well played all around if you called down |
#5
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Re: NL$200 Tough river spot against regular
He CC from the BB and fires this flop and we arent folding KQ here? Should i call flop bets like that? In my experience its usually a pretty strong hand.
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#6
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Re: NL$200 Tough river spot against regular
I folded the hand.
As I see it he only has two hand after he makes the river bet. A stone cold 3-barrel bluff (probably a missed draw) or a hand of real value. I don't think he value bets this river with AJ, what does he expect to be called by? He therefore is far more likely to have a better two pair, possibly the same two pair, a set or turned the straight. I think given the board texture he'd be mad to try and fire a 3rd barrel on this river and expect me to fold when I've called him twice already. I can say that a fold from me on this river in this spot is very rare. In conclusion therefore I have to think his bet is a value bet far more often than not and in which case I'm toast. |
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