#1
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1 donk a-donking - risk vs reward.
villain is 65/11/1.5 over ~2000 hands. We have played alot, and I have extensive notes on him reminding me how weird/unpredictable he can be. He CAN get tricky/stupid, and I think he actually pwns me alot -- otoh, I have seen him play oddly passive in some spots. One thing I have noticed is that he will call my flop bets often, but folds to a turn bet without a decent hand. That leads me to believe he has Jx or Xh5h/54 here --- soooo, do I just flat call, or shove for 90 more?
Blinds: $2/$4 5 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $360.00 CO: $338.20 Hero: $499.40 SB: $600.40 BB: $703.80 Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] UTG folds, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $20</font>, 2 folds, CO calls. Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($46, 2 players) CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $35</font>, CO calls. Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($116, 2 players) CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $92</font>, CO calls. River: 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($300, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">CO bets $100</font>, Hero _________? |
#2
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Re: 1 donk a-donking - risk vs reward.
Not shoving this against a 65/11 on this board, where villain has such bad odds on the turn for 5x, is criminal.
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#3
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Re: 1 donk a-donking - risk vs reward.
yea, I thought so too. I showed it to a solid msnl player over msn and he said he thinks it's just a call, and that everyone would say call if I posted it.
so this is a standard shove? no one has any arguments here? |
#4
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Re: 1 donk a-donking - risk vs reward.
Villain shows up with QQ,Jx,88,missed hearts that might grudge call, 34/24, AK, god knows.
The reason we shove is because 65/11 bleed off very quickly and this is a great spot to get yours. |
#5
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Re: 1 donk a-donking - risk vs reward.
easy push.
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#6
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Re: 1 donk a-donking - risk vs reward.
[ QUOTE ]
so this is a standard shove? no one has any arguments here? [/ QUOTE ] nope, all in! |
#7
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Re: 1 donk a-donking - risk vs reward.
What?
As a joke? OP says he has $90 on top of the bet that villain made. Villain is getting like a bazillion to one AND HE 65/11. Nobody is folding Jx on the river, esp not an ULTRA-donk. Insert picture of bunny with pancake on it's head. |
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