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Old 12-17-2006, 01:49 PM
Performify Performify is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sports Betting forum
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Default Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15

Sorry, a busy week due to holiday partys / etc kept this from going up sooner / being more in depth in the writeup department. Not many plays that my system likes this week, at all.

2006 Year to Date: Public Picks record:
Game of the Week: 6 - 4 - 4 +11.70
non GotW picks: 17 - 25 - 1 (4.62)
All Straight Picks: 23 - 29 - 5 +7.08
Tease of the Week: 6 - 3 - 0 +6.20
All Public Picks: 29 - 32 - 5 +13.28

Weighted Record ala Fezzik:
Straight Weighted: 68 - 60 53.20%
All Weighted: 85 - 70 54.90%
GotW Weighted: 32 - 20 61.54%

Cincy +3.5 (-112) at Indy: Game of the Week, 5.6u to win 5u. I have this game nearly equal, so getting 3.5 is huge here. I'd wait to place, keeping an eye on the line because Indy is a strong public favorite here so late money will likely move in on them, getting an even better line.

KC +9 (-106): 2.12u to win 2u. As strong as the Chargers are, they can coast a little here, the Chiefs are in a must-win. I don't expect the Chiefs will, but I have this game being decided by a single score.

Teaser: Chicago -6.5, Chargers -2.5: I have Chicago covering outright (as just below a 1u pick threshold) but I have moving them inside the 7 a very strong play here. Chargers likewise inside the three. 2.4u to win 2u.

Summary of Picks for Week 15: [*] Cincy +3.5 -112 : 5.6u to win 5u[*] KC +9 (-106) : 2.12u to win 2u[*] 6.5pt teaser: Chicago -6.5, Chargers -2.5: 2.4u to win 2u
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