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Old 11-27-2007, 10:07 PM
innerpeace innerpeace is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: In deep meditation
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Default Re: Q10s OOP, flopped nuts against LAG gets into trouble

i know this post could be a level, but i figured i'd respond nonetheless.

1. i assume that your river bet is $100, but mistyped.

2. it looks like you didn't think through villains' ranges when playing this hand at all. the board is draw heavy and scary looking so when both opponents call the turn, it's likely they are on some type of draw.

3. if either opponent is on a spade draw, it's likely that their draw also connected with the flop, suggesting that someone here has either the K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] or J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], with the former being more likely.

4. therefore, the river is a clear fold, imho.

5. i am not a big fan of leading the river in this situation. many made hands and bluffs will bet this river if checked to, and only better hands will raise. by betting the river you are announcing that you have a strong hand, and allow your opponents to size their bets well.

6. you should bet more on the turn.

7. also, your assessment of villain seems off. i don't know many hyperaggressive lags who open limp otb.
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