Re: Cutting Off Set Equity
[ QUOTE ]
Hey... Why IS AA 20%-ish vs 33 on a flop with a 3? Shouldn't 2 outs twice be in the 8-10% neighborhood?
[/ QUOTE ]
It's possible to flop set over set. We're interested in your equity when villian flops a set, not your equity when villian flops a set and you don't. The probability that an Ace will be on the board given that villian flopped a set is:
1 -(45/47)*(44/46)*(43/45)*(42/44) ~ 0.165
There's also a small chance you'll make a straight or flush or three of a kind on the board will counterfeit villian's boat.
|