Re: NFL - Is home team advantage dropping?
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Totals 1810 - 1288, 58.4%
Last 5 years 653 - 486, 57.3%
Last 3 years 351 - 276, 56.0%
May not be a huge shift, but seems like there is one. Two questions:
- Any adjustments to be made from this over the coming years?
- What could be causing this? The only thing we could come up with is cushier stadiums and better conditions for visitting teams, but that doesn't seem like it'd cover that much...
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A 2.4% drop is like 5 games more won by visiting teams over the course of the whole season. Or less than one every three weeks. I see no way to create an edge here. It's variance, pure and simple.
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