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Old 11-12-2007, 06:18 PM
Justin A Justin A is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Clark County
Posts: 6,340
Default Re: A coincidence that bothers me

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Actually its not because a hypothesis has never been stated in this thread. The closest that has come is a sentinment that when an astronomical longshot comes in, its more likely something else played a role in the outcome than just random chance.

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No. Astronomical long shots are expected to come in. There are so many different measurements and observations we can make in the universe that it would be strange if some of them were not weird coincidences.

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For instance, if one purchased a quick pick lotto ticket and the numbers came up 1 2 3 4 5 6. There is a good chance that person would be skeptical that the machine randomly produced those numbers. If that same person then purchased another quick pick ticket from the same machine and got the same numbers, 1 2 3 4 5 6, its not unreasonable for that person to think the machine is broke. I speculate that its more likely the machine is broke than it just happened to randomly produce the same set of numbers on two consecutive tickets. Nevertheless the machine can be working perfectly fine, even if it produces the same set of numbers on 10 consecutive quick pick lotto tickets.

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You're not even close with this analogy. Finding two lotto consecutive lotto tickets that are the same is hugely different than finding a ratio in our solar system that has a 3% difference.

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Is it wrong to say that a "stellar" coincidence, like a total solar eclipse, makes it more likely an active designer exist?

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Yes it is completely wrong. You don't seem to grasp concepts of probability very well. When the same number comes up on a roulette wheel four times in a row, it doesn't make a designer any more likely. When a pitcher throws a perfect game in baseball, it doesn't make a designer any more likely.
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