View Single Post
  #24  
Old 11-27-2007, 06:00 PM
Billy Bibbit Billy Bibbit is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 580
Default Re: Cardinals kick field goal instead of going for TD, WTF!!!!

MicroBob,

Most people aren't used to thinking about EV the way poker players do. I don't think it ever occurs to most coaches to compare probabilities in the sense of "We win 70% if we go for it and 55% if we attempt a field goal." They just do what other people have told them is best, be it reporters, other coaches, or whoever. When a coach gets ripped apart for getting stuffed on fourth down I'm sure it discourages other coaches from going for it in the future.
Reply With Quote