Re: OESD on a mono flop
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Just curious - is it really much of a leak to call this preflop?
If he is tight pf (say PFR < 6) he often has a very solid hand here...AQs+ JJ+
And he is c-betting here pretty much every time
So 5$ more for a guaranteed 20$ pot, and likely a 3/4ths pot bet after you check the flop...
So between 6:1 and 8:1 on your money, and you can likely stack him if you flop something lucky.
Unless a player has been min reraising like this frequently, I call the 5$ most of the time with the intention of busting an overpair.
That said, I think you can wait for a better flop. It is marginal, but even if one of the flop cards wasnt a heart, I'd play back.
Mono flop I fold.
Is my line of thought wrong here? Is this a leak?
*edit*
And to take this a step further - is there a site where you can determine your % chance to flop ahead of another hand? I know there are plenty of places that will calc your odds to the river, but I have no idea how to estimate what % of the time a suited 1-gapper hits a playable flop (say 8+ outs or ahead of an overpair)
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I don't have a huge problem with the call of the raise. You are getting pretty decent odds on a call.
My point was the original flop raise could be bad if we know that he is reraising us light. In that case raising is the worst play. I would think calling would be more profitable as it gives you better implied odds and an increased chance that the pot will be multiway.
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