[Vyse]

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I'm not claiming that I have any great evaluation ability.

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LMFAO

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All I'm saying is that watching the game gives you a lot more insight.

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Who on here doesn't watch the games?

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Statheads will blindly cite stats like "play X has thrown for 2 TDs and 10 INTs in the past 3 games" and automatically assume that those stats prove something.

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Statements like these are why people laugh at you. You make conclusions based on false assumptions.

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Those who watched the games may know that 2 of those INTs were thrown in desperation come from behind time and 2 more bounced of the WR's finger tips and two others came in which the QB was under a ridiculous amount of pressure...things like that don't require you to be an advanced scout to see.

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it's really easy to play devil's advocate here and say that, on average, a player who has the aforementioned poor stats MAY have had some unlucky INTs, but usually he is playing at a poor level where he also had some lucky completions, or was consistently overthrowing / underthrowing targets, etc.

I'm also nearly positive that DVOA / DPAR adjusts for really long INTs since they serve basically as punts.