Re: simple hand vs good player
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surfdoc,
are you assuming:
1. If you cr flop, he'll cd with JJ or better?
2. If you cc flop, he'll bf (or possibly check) JJ/QQ on turn?
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I really don't know. What would all you guys do if a TAG 3 bet from the blinds and then CRd a Kxx flop. Are you taking 99-QQ to showdown?
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Depends on opponent, but I often am. As a default, yes. But it helps to know in these cases if my opp is a 3 bareller or not. If his bluffs almost always end after the turn is called, I will often find river fold.
Also -- and I think this is important -- many opponents will ONLY do this with a K or better. That is, their c/r gas line is not balanced (or not balanced nearly enough, in an optimal sense) with bluffs. In today's games, I think this lack of balance is an asset, not a mistake, because so many people DO c/r gas bluff that most opponents will just assume (as a default, and possibly forever) that you do as well.
In this hand, however, I think the most likely scenario is that villain, knowing you 3b light, decided to cap light to make the hand easier to play. There are all sorts of non-pair hands that he could have folded to your c/r.
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