Re: Poker math quiz: evaluate this hand.
This has been an interesting discussion so far.
A few things to clarify before the conversation continues:
1. Several of you have mentioned that he will play tighter against a raise than when limping. This is absolutely true, but this seems to be one of those guys who rarely limp-folds. He's not tightening up to 20% or even close, here. Figure him for calling with roughly half his limping range, maybe more. (Seriously -- that's why I'm at the cap table.)
2. The flop check-raise just says "I have a hand." Don't read unspecified power into the fact that it's a minraise; this guy is positively terrible.
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Here are a couple follow-up questions that need to be asked, because people seem to be all over the map on it:
How many outs does hero have on the flop? How many outs does hero have on the turn?
Specify any discounting you do, and why.
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