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Old 11-23-2007, 07:39 PM
Pokey Pokey is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
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Default Re: Poker math quiz: evaluate this hand.

This has been an interesting discussion so far.

A few things to clarify before the conversation continues:

1. Several of you have mentioned that he will play tighter against a raise than when limping. This is absolutely true, but this seems to be one of those guys who rarely limp-folds. He's not tightening up to 20% or even close, here. Figure him for calling with roughly half his limping range, maybe more. (Seriously -- that's why I'm at the cap table.)

2. The flop check-raise just says "I have a hand." Don't read unspecified power into the fact that it's a minraise; this guy is positively terrible.

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Here are a couple follow-up questions that need to be asked, because people seem to be all over the map on it:

How many outs does hero have on the flop? How many outs does hero have on the turn?

Specify any discounting you do, and why.
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