Re: 3/6 OOP with a plan
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Getting only 2.5:1, you need to make ~$200 on the river, playing just for your draw.
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This isn't even possible if I had 0% equity.
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Wow.
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Demonstrate a situation where I need to make $y on the river in order to make up for a $x sized turn call where y > x.
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if you are a 4:1 dog, and you are getting only 2.5:1 from the pot, playing only for your draw, you need to make 1.5x the turn bet, on the river, when you hit
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Ok pot is $100. Guy bets $66.67. I call as an 80/20 dog.
The EV of my turn call is 0.2*(66.67+100) - 0.8*66.67 = -$20
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ok.. so if you get a 66.67*1.5 = $100 bet from him on the river:
0.2*(66.67+100+100) - 0.8*66.67 = 0
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