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Old 02-27-2007, 07:39 PM
Parlay Slow Parlay Slow is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Proud to be Polish!
Posts: 3,869
Default Re: 3/6 OOP with a plan

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Getting only 2.5:1, you need to make ~$200 on the river, playing just for your draw.

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This isn't even possible if I had 0% equity.

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Wow.

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Demonstrate a situation where I need to make $y on the river in order to make up for a $x sized turn call where y > x.

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if you are a 4:1 dog, and you are getting only 2.5:1 from the pot, playing only for your draw, you need to make 1.5x the turn bet, on the river, when you hit

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Ok pot is $100. Guy bets $66.67. I call as an 80/20 dog.

The EV of my turn call is 0.2*(66.67+100) - 0.8*66.67 = -$20
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